Part 3 · Lesson 19 of 25 · Pro
A case study: game theory at the table
A real river: the Loose-aggressive player bets 40 bb into 60 bb, and you hold top pair. Against him the call earns about +7 bb; against a Nit making the same bet, it loses 12 bb. Real hands combine everything: ranges narrowed by actions, prices from bet sizes, equity against those ranges, and an opponent who may be exploitable.
The hand
River. You hold K♥ J♥, top pair. The Loose-aggressive player bets 40 bb into 60 bb, so the pot with his bet is 100 bb and you must call 40 bb. He bets like this with AK and KQ for value, and with T8 and 86 suited, missed straight draws, as bluffs.
Predict first
Call or fold?
- Call
- Fold: he has more value hands than bluffs
- Raise
Formula
Price → range → equity → compare → adjust
This lesson is part of Pro. Above are its opening, its question and the idea it leads to; the worked numbers, the common mistake, the interactive tool and the check are in the app.