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Poker odds, answered

99 vs AK odds: pocket nines against ace-king

Pocket nines (9♥ 9♦) win 55.5% of the time against ace-king (A♠ K♣), lose 44.2% and tie 0.3%, all in before the flop. Equity: 55.7% to 44.3%.

Counted exactly over all 1,712,304 boards, not simulated. Equity counts a tie as half a win.

Why 99 is the favourite

This is the classic "coin flip": a pair against two higher cards. The ace-king wins by pairing either card (six outs on each of five cards), the pocket nines win when neither pairs and when they make a set. The pair is a small favourite; the closer it is to the overcards, the less the straights the overcards make matter.

What it means for a call

An all-in call is right when your share of the pot is at least the price. With 44.3% equity, ace-king needs the pot to offer at least 1.3 to 1 to call against exactly pocket nines. In real hands nobody shows their cards: compare your equity against the whole range of hands that would bet this way, in the equity calculator or the preflop odds chart.

Suits change the numbers by a point or two: shared suits take flushes away from one hand. These are the suits shown above.

Learn why starting hands win and lose this way, with an interactive lesson and practice hands.

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More poker odds

Odds of flopping a set with a pocket pair · Flush draw odds · Open-ended straight draw odds · Gutshot straight draw odds · Odds of being dealt pocket aces (and other starting hands) · Odds of flopping a flush with suited cards · Odds of pairing two overcards (6 outs) · AA vs KK · KK vs QQ · QQ vs JJ · AA vs 22 · QQ vs AK · all