Poker Math Coach

Hand of the week 2 · A♠ K♠

I Had 15 Outs, So I Called. I Really Had 9.

Your hand A♠ K♠

Board Q♠ 7♠ 3♦ 2♣

Nine spades, three aces and three kings: fifteen outs on the turn. He bets 9 into 12.5.

  1. Do you have the price to call? Decide before you read on.

    The answer

    No: count the clean outs. You need 29.5%. Against the hands that lead this turn (top pair with a good kicker, two pair, sets) many aces and kings are dead: about 9 clean outs, 20.8% to win. Fold.

The video of this hand airs on YouTube on Friday, November 13, 2026 at 18:00 Brasília time, on @pokermathcoach.

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