Hand of the week 4 · J♥ 10♥
All In With a Draw on the Flop? The Math of the Semi-Bluff
Your hand J♥ 10♥
Board 9♥ 8♠ 2♥
Fifteen outs and no pair. The cutoff bets 4.
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Fold, call or move all in? Decide before you read on.
The answer
All in. All in wins two ways: he folds 83.7% of the time, and when he calls (37 combos: overpairs, sets, two pair, better draws) you still have 49.1% equity. Together: +9.2 bb.
The video of this hand airs on YouTube on Friday, November 27, 2026 at 18:00 Brasília time, on @pokermathcoach.
Every number is computed by the Poker Math Coach engine. Ranges and reads are assumptions, said as such in the video.