Poker Math Coach

Hand of the week 6 · A♦ J♣

Ace-Jack vs Ace-King: How Top Pair Lost 69 Big Blinds

Your hand A♦ J♣

Board A♣ 7♦ 2♠

You call a tight three-bet (queens or better, ace-king, ace-queen suited) and flop top pair. He keeps betting on the turn.

  1. Call or fold the turn? Decide before you read on.

    The answer

    Fold. The flop call is right: 53.1% against his whole range. Against the hands that keep betting on the turn you have 6.2%, and 0.0% on the river. Folding the turn saves 55 bb.

The video of this hand airs on YouTube on Friday, December 11, 2026 at 18:00 Brasília time, on @pokermathcoach.

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